Sunday, January 17, 2021

Dynasty Fantasy Football Draft: Round One Analysis

 
 

Dynasty Fantasy Football is one of the more challenging types of Fantasy Football, I have quickly found out. Basically Dynasty Fantasy Football combines standard fantasy football with age making for more of an NFL type feel.

I have discovered the start-up draft is arguably the hardest part of it. You have to choose the players you want to lead your team for the rest of their careers in many cases. You don’t just get to choose a player, have him for one year, and then restart with a new group of players.

So, the strategy has to be there. If you go with a proven player like Antonio Brown, who will turn 30 in July, then you will have a top-tier receiver for a few years or so. However, if you go with a player like Corey Davis, who is only 23 years old and less proven, you take a risk hoping he will develop. If the risk pays off, you will have him on your team possibly another 6–7 years than you would have Antonio Brown. Since, Antonio Brown is most likely going to retire sooner than Corey Davis.

 

Now that you get the point about the difficulty and decision making required in a dynasty draft, I feel it is time to start my analysis on a dynasty fantasy football start-up draft, I participated in.

dynasty
Credit: Robert Hanashiro-USA TODAY Sports

Round 1 Dynasty Draft

Pick 1: Todd Gurley, RB, Los Angeles Rams

Pick 2:Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys

Pick 3:Le’Veon Bell, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers

Pick 4:Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans Saints

Pick 5:David Johnson, RB, Arizona Cardinals

Pick 6:Saquon Barkley, RB, New York Giants

Pick 7:DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans

Pick 8:Odell Beckham, WR, New York Giants

Pick 9:Antonio Brown, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers

Pick 10:Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints

Pick 11:Kareem Hunt, RB, Kansas City Chiefs

Pick 12:Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons

 

One Takeaway From The Round: A group of Top Tier Running Backs were picked to start the draft

The first six picks all belonged to running backs in this draft. While lots of people consider a receiver being worthy of being selected at the number one pick, it was a group of elite running backs that went off the board with the first six picks. I would have taken Odell Beckham jr. or DeAndre Hopkins before some of them because it is rarer to find young receivers who are already proven than to find a young, talented running back.

One Surprise From The Round: David Johnson goes from being the consensus number one pick in most drafts last year to the fifth running back taken in this draft!

 
 

It must have been a great surprise to the person who got him, that David Johnson was not one of the first four running backs taken. Being a Cardinals fan, the person drafting at this spot jumped on David Johnson hoping he could be the player he once was before last year’s season ending injury in Week One. I think Johnson is up there with the best of them for running backs and shouldn’t be taken lightly.

One Reach From The Round: Alvin Kamara gets picked fourth overall!

 

Alvin Kamara is definitely worthy of being selected in the first round, but I think Kamara should have been picked later in the round rather than sooner. His draft stock is obviously on a high with Mark Ingram being suspended the first four games of the season, but Ingram will be back after that. Ingram will be splitting touches with Kamara because he is the thunder to Kamara’s lightning.

Kamara will get more touches than Ingram, especially in the receiving game, but he is not going to get as many touches as bell-cow backs like David Johnson and Saquon Barkley I think. These bell-cow backs for me have a higher ceiling than Kamara, yet they were both surpassed in this owner’s eyes for Kamara. Personally, I would have also taken receivers Odell Beckham jr. and DeAndre Hopkins over Kamara here too.

One Steal From The Draft: Odell Beckham jr. and DeAndre Hopkins get picked with the 7th and 8th overall pick!

 
 

This isn’t standard fantasy football where the running back position is superior to the wide receiver position! This is dynasty fantasy football and most of the more talented receivers like Antonio Brown(29) and Julio Jones (also 29) are getting up there in age. Therefore, Odell Beckham jr. and DeAndre Hopkins are in a tier of their own for receivers and aren’t necessarily in-superior to the top running backs.

Once these two are gone there is a huge gap, so it is important to capitalize on these two top-tier receivers. The two people who got one of these receivers are probably pumped because they know they got a steal!

This Round’s Winning Move: Trading Down To Get DeAndre Hopkins

 

Now I didn’t put the trades up above, that is because there are a lot of trades throughout the draft. However, I am going to mention this one! It turned out to be so good for someone that I think it is this round’s best move.

Team 1: Receives the 1.03 and the 6.10 pick

Team 2: Receives the 1.07 and the 4.06 pick

At first glance, it turned out to be a fair trade. It was pretty fair at the time. But then DeAndre Hopkins, the number one receiver for lots of people in dynasty, fell to the 1.07 pick. I immediately compared him to Le’Veon Bell, who was selected at the 1.03 spot. For me, there isn’t much of a difference. They are both towards the top of their position. Therefore, this trade is almost like trading away a fourth round pick for a sixth round pick. SO…not only did this owner get DeAndre Hopkins, but he also moved up in the draft!

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